How ‘Space X’ beat Russia’s space program

How ‘Space X’ beat Russia’s space program

Nowhere on this planet did the launch of SpaceX’s Falcon Heavy rocket echo as powerfully as it did in Russia. The private U.S. company continues to produce technical feats on which the Russian space industry has given up: First the consistent re-use of rockets, and now the successful launch of a rocket with as many as 27 engines.

The company was founded by Elon Reeve Musk who is a South African-born Canadian American business magnate, investor, engineer, and inventor. In December 2016, Musk was ranked 21st on the Forbes list of The World’s Most Powerful People. As of January 2018, he has a net worth of $20.9 billion and is listed by Forbes as the 53rd richest person in the world.

The Soviet Union had tried something similar in the 1960s and early 1970s. Sergei Korolev, the rocket designer who launched the first satellite and the first man into space, began the development of what came to be known as the N-1, a 30-engine superheavy rocket capable of taking a 75-ton space station to orbit and perhaps to the Moon, Mars and Venus. Finished after Korolev’s death in 1966, the N-1 was test-launched four times. Each of the launches failed, largely because of the difficulty of running so many engines at the same time.

Now SpaceX has pulled off a similar task, and even though it’s not clear yet who will contract for the Falcon Heavy’s services, SpaceX founder Elon Musk now has the most capable missile in the world: It can deliver up to 64 tons into orbit. Russia’s plans to build such a rocket, which is capable of flying to the Moon or to Mars, is not even close to completion yet, and certainly not fully funded too, though Igor Komarov, head of Roskosmos, the Russian space agency, has promised a first launch in 2028. This is quite disappointing as even China is likely to have a superheavy launch vehicle before Russia. But it’s the success of upstart Musk that smarts. Roskosmos has the full power of the state behind it, after all. And yet here’s this boyish-looking showman launching his roadster into space with David Bowie blasting from the car’s speakers.

The corniness didn’t make it less bitter. Russians tend to laugh when it hurts and the going gets tough, there were plenty of Russian memes that had properly acknowledged defeat by suggesting what Russia could have launched into space in place of a Tesla Roadster, However, the undertone is serious. Vitaly Egorov, spokesman for Dauria Aerospace, a private Russian satellite manufacturer that works with Roskosmos, posted bitterly on Facebook:

“In fact, Musk hasn’t done anything fantastical. Korolev has done this kind of thing, and so did [rocket engine designer Valentin] Glushko. Soviets did it, and Russians can do it too. But now we’re onlookers and we see it as the stuff of fantasy. Many people have asked me: “Could we replicate the success of SpaceX?” Technically, we can. In the final accounting, landing a stage or making a superheavy rocket is a mathematical task, and we aren’t out of mathematicians. What we are out of is dreamers. To know how to fly and where to fly, we need to know why we’re flying.”

Musk, with his crude salesmanship and his slick nerdish cultural references, has a dream, described in a white paper he published last year: to colonize Mars and that has become is primary goal. Musk admitted in the white paper that was his only motivation for getting wealthy.

Sadly for Russia, they do not have a dreamer to match. It has Dmitri Rogozin, the nationalist deputy prime minister in charge of the defense and aerospace industry, who publicly squabbled with the Roskosmos management after the latest launch failure in November. Roskosmos officials hired a private Gulfstream jet to fly to the launch from a new pad in Russia’s Far East, but the Soyuz rocket, carrying 18 satellites, burned up in the atmosphere. Rogozin then accused Roskosmos of programming the Fregat upper stage for a launch from a different pad. “One tailor sews the pocket, another the lapel, but the suit doesn’t work as a whole,” Rogozin said. Roskosmos denied making the error. But, after a series of criminal investigations in the Russian aerospace industry — with cases including the improper use of cheap components in building rockets — not even the silliest explanations are out of the question.

Ever since the Soviet Union’s collapse, the Russian space program has been run pragmatically for cash. Using time-tested technology, Russia seized leadership in the commercial launch market. But SpaceX’s persistence and ingenuity, and its success in bringing down costs by reusing rockets, made it the likely market leader last year and possibly even profitable. The Falcon 9 was certainly the most successfully-launched rocket in the world.

Roskosmos has acknowledged the SpaceX threat, which it spent years pooh-poohing, and is working to reduce launch costs by 20 percent and reuse rocket components. But Musk’s company is ahead of the game for now, and it won’t be easy to catch.

Many Russians who are jealous of Musk’s success point out that he hasn’t gotten where he is without government support — technical assistance from NASA as well as billions in government subsidies. But the rest of the U.S. aerospace industry gets lots of government money, too, and so do European, Chinese, Japanese and Indian space programs. Egorov probably put his finger on the difference. The private passion of a socially clumsy, irritating, science fiction-reading, electric roadster-driving geek has done more to establish SpaceX’s leadership than any state support could have done. The dream behind the engineering and the enterprise may not look as serious as the state considerations of Rogozin and Komarov — but it sure helps propel some heavy objects into space.

Musk’s Roadster with the Starman mannequin placed inside which was sent off a few days ago is in an elliptical orbit around the sun. At their closest point to the sun, they will fly just inside the Earth’s orbit. At their farthest away, they’ll be 390 million kilometers from the sun.

For comparison, Earth’s average distance from the sun is about 150 million km. Mars orbits the sun at 228 million km.

Shortly after SpaceX’s Falcon Heavy had launched the Roadster into space, three cameras began beaming live views of the car and Starman back to Earth. That webcast lasted 4 hours and 39 minutes before going offline.

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk had unveiled the final photo of his Tesla Roadster and its Starman mannequin leaving Earth in the rear-view mirror after launching on the first Falcon Heavy rocket…. and the view is definitely spectacular.

The photo, which Musk shared Wednesday on his Instagram, shows Starman in the Roadster with the entire Earth in background.

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